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Bitcoin Price Crashes Over $53,000 in Four Months as Analysts Reveal What Comes Next

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Why Bitcoin is Crashing?

The post Bitcoin Price Crashes Over $53,000 in Four Months as Analysts Reveal What Comes Next appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitcoin has lost more than $53,000 in value over the past four months, extending a sharp downturn that has erased much of last year’s rally and left investors searching for signs of stability.

Bitcoin peaked near $126,000 in October 2025 and has since fallen to around $73,200, its lowest level this year. The decline has wiped out more than $1.1 trillion from Bitcoin’s market value and pushed it roughly 42% below its all-time high.

The selloff has also dragged down the broader crypto market. Ethereum is down about 56% from its peak, reinforcing concerns that digital assets remain stuck in a prolonged downturn.

Crypto Falls as Stocks Hold Near Records

The contrast with traditional markets has been striking.

U.S. stock indexes remain close to record highs, with the S&P 500 down about 1.5% from its peak, the Nasdaq off roughly 3.6%, and the Russell 2000 lower by around 4.2%. Crypto markets, by comparison, have suffered far deeper losses.

That gap has fueled speculation among some investors about market manipulation or deeper structural problems in crypto.

Analysts Reject Manipulation Claims

Julio Moreno, a crypto market analyst, pushed back against the idea that the drop signals something broken behind the scenes.

He said Bitcoin’s broader trend since 2023 had been upward until late last year, when momentum shifted. “We made a new all-time high,” Moreno said, arguing that 2025 was not a bear year overall despite ending in the red.

According to Moreno, the change came in November, when Bitcoin’s trend turned downward after falling below a long-watched technical level.

A Clear Bear Signal Emerges

Analysts point to Bitcoin’s move below its 365-day moving average as a major warning sign. That indicator has historically marked the shift from bull markets to bear markets.

“When price drops below the one-year average, that level tends to become resistance,” Moreno said. In past cycles, including 2022, similar moves were followed by extended declines.

This time, he said, the downturn has been worse than early 2022, suggesting a more prolonged correction.

He now sees several important price levels shaping what comes next.

  • $89,000 is viewed as a major resistance level where rallies could stall
  • $79,000 is considered near-term support
  • A sustained and continuous drop below that could open the door to $70,000 or lower
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Crypto

Anthropic’s Pentagon battle shifts from courtroom to chain of command

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The Pentagon will continue its existing ban on Anthropic, regardless of other cabinet members stating that the bigger battle has ended. For now, the remaining designation by the Department of Defense will either have to be reversed by a court ruling or by the Pentagon itself. On Thursday, high-ranking officials from the Pentagon made it clear that the latter scenario is highly unlikely.

That keeps the courts at the center of the dispute. And the outcome matters beyond Anthropic because it could help define how far the US government can go in penalizing an AI contractor that refuses to remove its own limits on military uses of its technology.

Michael’s post cut against Lutnick’s thaw

Emil Michael, the Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering, wrote on X that “Anthropic is still a designated Supply Chain Risk at @DeptofWar and for the Defense Industrial Base.” He closed with “Thank you for your attention to this matter!”

The remark followed Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick’s positive comments about Anthropic. Lutnick stated to Mike Allen of Axios, “We trust Anthropic,” explaining that the company had “done what we asked” and was “back on the right side.”

Anthropic co-founder Tom Brown joined Lutnick in Chapel Hill, North Carolina, during the G20 Innovation Ministerial on September 2, adding to the belief that relations had improved.

However, Lutnick’s and Michael’s issues were entirely different.

Two feuds, one company

The thaw Lutnick described largely concerns Commerce. The government imposed export controls on Anthropic’s Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models in June over concerns that safeguards could be bypassed to expose advanced cybersecurity capabilities. Those restrictions were later lifted after Anthropic worked with the government on additional safeguards.

The Pentagon dispute is something different. The Defense officials confronted Anthropic on the limitations that the latter wanted to impose on the military use of Claude. Anthropic claims that it had drawn two red lines, one concerning fully autonomous weapons and the other with respect to mass domestic surveillance, while operational decisions would otherwise remain with the military.

According to an earlier report from Cryptopolitan, the Pentagon and the Trump administration clashed with Anthropic in public about these limits while also seeking to expand agreements with other AI giants in Washington.

The financial implications are enormous. An official announcement from the Department of Defense shows that Anthropic signed a $200 million prototype agreement with it in July 2025 to build frontier AI technologies for national-security work.

The courts, not Commerce, hold the switch

Anthropic has already won one major round. On August 27, US District Judge Rita Lin in San Francisco ruled in Anthropic’s favor over Pentagon actions taken under 10 U.S.C. § 3252.

She found unlawful retaliation under the First Amendment, a denial of required due process under the Fifth Amendment, and concluded that the designation was contrary to law and arbitrary and capricious.

Cryptopolitan reported after the ruling that Anthropic welcomed the finding that the designation was unlawful and again said it wanted to work with the government on national security.

But the ruling did not erase every Pentagon action. The department also invoked 41 U.S.C. § 4713, creating a separate supply-chain-risk designation that Anthropic is challenging in the D.C. Circuit.

Michael’s post, therefore, does not overturn the California ruling. It highlights what remains unresolved.

What to watch next

For Anthropic to clear the Pentagon’s remaining supply-chain designation, the D.C. Circuit must rule in its favor or the Defense Department must abandon the action.

Until then, Lutnick’s reconciliation with Anthropic does not amount to a Pentagon reversal. The next decisive signal is more likely to come from Washington’s appeals court — or from the Pentagon itself — than from another warm exchange at a technology summit.

The judicial track can constrain or invalidate executive action; it isn’t another rung in the Pentagon hierarchy. Will the Pentagon create a new restriction? Or will Anthropic survive the legal defects identified by Judge Lin? The answers to these questions open the next chapter rather than simply asking whether Anthropic “wins” or “loses.”

 

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