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Bitcoin Steadies at $115K as Fed Rate Cut Bets Fuel Optimism

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Bitcoin (BTC) traded steadily around $115,700 on September 14, 2025, down slightly by 0.2% amid mixed macroeconomic signals, but buoyed by strong expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. With prediction markets pricing in an 82% chance of a 25-basis-point reduction this week, BTC’s resilience points to a potential extension of its bull run into 2026, as suggested by BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes.

The cryptocurrency’s dominance hovers at 57.5%, with spot ETFs recording $553 million in inflows over the past week—the longest streak since August. A dormant whale resurfaced, moving $50 million in BTC, while long-term holders offloaded 241,000 BTC, hinting at profit-taking. Despite $284 million in 24-hour liquidations, BTC closed a key CME gap, eyeing $117,000 as the next resistance.

Institutional adoption remains a cornerstone, with companies like Metaplanet added to Japan’s FTSE Index after aggressive BTC accumulation. However, challenges persist: Bitcoin-hoarding firms face stock declines as euphoria wanes, and core CPI inflation exceeding 3% could temper aggressive cuts.

Analysts like Chris Burniske foresee BTC improving against ETH and SOL ratios. With Q4 inflows projected at $929 million for ETFs, Bitcoin’s “digital gold” status solidifies, though traders warn of dips below $100,000 if global tensions escalate. For now, the macro backdrop favors upside.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Tops $65,000 Ahead of Key U.S. Inflation Data as Spot ETFs Post Strongest Weekly Inflows Since April

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Bitcoin climbed above the psychologically important $65,000 level on Monday, extending nearly 3% gains over the prior week after a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report reduced near-term pressure for further Federal Reserve rate hikes.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency traded in the $65,000–$65,200 range early in the week, reclaiming ground lost during July’s volatility. Most major cryptocurrencies also finished higher on the week, with Ethereum, BNB, and Solana advancing roughly 3–5%. XRP lagged as a notable exception. Global equities hovered near records, providing a supportive risk-on backdrop for digital assets.

The catalyst for the weekend rebound was Friday’s July nonfarm payrolls report, which showed U.S. employers unexpectedly cut 23,000 jobs against forecasts for a gain of around 80,000. Downward revisions to prior months further softened the labor picture. Markets quickly dialed back the odds of a September rate hike, offering relief to risk assets including Bitcoin.

Institutional Demand Reasserts Itself

Supporting the price recovery, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $853.5–$854 million in net inflows during the week ending around August 7—the strongest weekly haul since mid-April. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) dominated the flows, accounting for roughly $693–$694 million, or more than 80% of the total. Combined Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF inflows approached $1.1 billion for the period.

The institutional demand remains one of the clearest bullish signals in an otherwise range-bound, lower-volume market. Consecutive days of inflows helped stabilize Bitcoin near the $65,000 area despite geopolitical noise and technical resistance. Market participants are monitoring whether the pace of inflows accelerates into the next U.S. trading sessions.

Focus Shifts to Wednesday’s Inflation Print

Traders are now focused on Wednesday’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET on August 12. The data will shape near-term Federal Reserve expectations and could drive crypto volatility. Analysts continue to watch the $65,000–$65,800 zone as a critical resistance area; a convincing break higher could open upside targets toward the mid-$70,000s.

The combination of softer labor data, renewed ETF demand, and a constructive equity backdrop has given Bitcoin a firmer footing heading into the inflation report. Whether the $65,000 level holds—and whether institutional flows continue—will likely determine the next directional move for both Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

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